Will AI Achieve Recursive Self‑Improvement by 2028? Anthropic’s 60% Forecast
Anthropic co‑founder Jack Clark predicts a 60% chance that by the end of 2028 AI systems will be capable of recursive self‑improvement, citing rapid progress on benchmarks such as CORE‑Bench, PostTrainBench, SWE‑Bench, METR, and emerging capabilities in kernel design, agentic coding, and AI‑to‑AI management.
