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time series forecasting

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JD Tech
JD Tech
Apr 30, 2025 · Artificial Intelligence

TimeHF: A Billion‑Scale Time Series Forecasting Model Guided by Human Feedback

The JD Supply Chain algorithm team introduces TimeHF, a billion‑parameter time‑series large model that leverages RLHF to boost demand‑forecast accuracy by over 10%, detailing dataset construction, the PCTLM architecture, a custom RLHF framework (TPO), and extensive SOTA experimental results.

Big DataRLHFdeep learning
0 likes · 10 min read
TimeHF: A Billion‑Scale Time Series Forecasting Model Guided by Human Feedback
JD Tech Talk
JD Tech Talk
Apr 11, 2025 · Artificial Intelligence

A Billion-Scale Pure Time Series Large Model: PCTLM with SFT and TPO for Forecasting

This article presents a pioneering billion‑parameter pure time‑series large model (PCTLM) trained on a 1.5‑billion‑sample dataset, introduces a novel RLHF framework (TPO) for time‑series forecasting, and demonstrates state‑of‑the‑art performance across multiple public benchmarks, surpassing existing models such as GPT4TS.

Big DataPCTLMRLHF
0 likes · 11 min read
A Billion-Scale Pure Time Series Large Model: PCTLM with SFT and TPO for Forecasting
AntTech
AntTech
Mar 5, 2025 · Artificial Intelligence

Pyraformer: Low-Complexity Pyramidal Attention for Long-Range Time Series Modeling and Forecasting

Pyraformer introduces a pyramidal attention mechanism that captures long-range dependencies in time-series data with linear time and space complexity, achieving state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy on multiple real-world datasets while reducing computational cost, as demonstrated in extensive ICLR-2022 experiments.

ICLR 2022Pyraformerdeep learning
0 likes · 11 min read
Pyraformer: Low-Complexity Pyramidal Attention for Long-Range Time Series Modeling and Forecasting
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Oct 27, 2024 · Fundamentals

Unlocking Grey Prediction Models: How AGO Transforms Small Sample Forecasting

This article explains the Grey Prediction Model (GPM), especially the GM(1,1) variant, detailing its Accumulated Generating Operation, difference‑equation modeling, parameter estimation, and inverse transformation, and shows why it excels with limited, noisy data.

Accumulated Generating OperationGM(1,1)Grey Prediction Model
0 likes · 7 min read
Unlocking Grey Prediction Models: How AGO Transforms Small Sample Forecasting
Ctrip Technology
Ctrip Technology
Sep 29, 2024 · Artificial Intelligence

Structured Components-based Neural Network (SCNN) for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Theory, Implementation, and Business Application

This article presents the SCNN model for multivariate time series forecasting, explains its decomposition into long‑term, seasonal, short‑term, and co‑evolving components, details the neural‑network‑based fusion and loss design, provides Python code snippets, and demonstrates its practical deployment for business volume prediction at Ctrip.

PythonSCNNmultivariate
0 likes · 30 min read
Structured Components-based Neural Network (SCNN) for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Theory, Implementation, and Business Application
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Jul 24, 2024 · Fundamentals

Boost Time Series Forecast Accuracy with the Grey‑Markov Hybrid Model

This article introduces the Grey‑Markov hybrid model, explains its theoretical foundations, outlines step‑by‑step modeling procedures, and demonstrates its superior forecasting performance on a consumer price index (CPI) case study, achieving a significant reduction in prediction error.

CPI PredictionGrey ModelHybrid Model
0 likes · 7 min read
Boost Time Series Forecast Accuracy with the Grey‑Markov Hybrid Model
Alimama Tech
Alimama Tech
Jun 21, 2024 · Artificial Intelligence

CausalMMM: Learning Causal Structure for Marketing Mix Modeling

CausalMMM introduces an encoder‑decoder framework that automatically discovers heterogeneous, interpretable causal graphs among advertising channels while modeling temporal decay and saturation, using Granger‑based variational inference, and achieves over 5.7% improvement in causal structure learning and significant GMV prediction gains on Alibaba’s data.

Causal InferenceGraph Neural Networksmarketing mix modeling
0 likes · 16 min read
CausalMMM: Learning Causal Structure for Marketing Mix Modeling
DeWu Technology
DeWu Technology
May 31, 2024 · Artificial Intelligence

In-depth Analysis of Prophet Time Series Forecasting Model

The article offers a thorough examination of Facebook’s Prophet forecasting model, detailing its additive decomposition of trend, seasonality, holidays and regressors, the underlying Bayesian inference via Stan, the full training‑and‑prediction pipeline, data‑normalization tricks, uncertainty estimation, and practical source‑code insights for e‑commerce applications.

Bayesian inferenceProphet modelStan framework
0 likes · 21 min read
In-depth Analysis of Prophet Time Series Forecasting Model
Ctrip Technology
Ctrip Technology
Oct 26, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Time Series Forecasting of Key Business Indicators: Methods, Models, and Practical Deployment

This article presents a comprehensive study on forecasting critical business metrics such as traffic, order volume, and GMV using traditional, machine‑learning, and deep‑learning time‑series models, detailing feature engineering, model design, experimental comparison, online deployment, and monitoring strategies.

AutoformerInformerProphet
0 likes · 18 min read
Time Series Forecasting of Key Business Indicators: Methods, Models, and Practical Deployment
DataFunSummit
DataFunSummit
Oct 3, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Time Series Forecasting for NIO Power Swap Stations: Business Background, Challenges, Algorithm Practice, and Future Outlook

This article presents a comprehensive case study of NIO's Power swap‑station ecosystem, detailing the business context, key forecasting challenges, the evolution from classical statistical models to deep‑learning architectures with specialized embeddings, and the practical outcomes and future plans for improving prediction accuracy.

NIO Powerdeep learningelectric vehicle
0 likes · 16 min read
Time Series Forecasting for NIO Power Swap Stations: Business Background, Challenges, Algorithm Practice, and Future Outlook
DataFunTalk
DataFunTalk
Jul 13, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Time Series Forecasting for NIO Power Swap Stations: Business Background, Challenges, and Algorithm Practice

This article presents NIO's smart energy service platform, focusing on the NIO Power swap‑station business and detailing how time‑series forecasting is applied to predict demand, addressing complex seasonality, holiday drift, growth and competition, and describing the underlying machine‑learning and deep‑learning models and system architecture.

NIOdeep learningembedding
0 likes · 16 min read
Time Series Forecasting for NIO Power Swap Stations: Business Background, Challenges, and Algorithm Practice
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Mar 2, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Understanding RNNs and LSTM: Theory and Python Keras Implementation

This article explains the fundamentals of Recurrent Neural Networks and Long Short‑Term Memory units, their gating mechanisms, and demonstrates a practical Python Keras example that predicts future PM2.5 concentrations using an LSTM model.

KerasLSTMPython
0 likes · 7 min read
Understanding RNNs and LSTM: Theory and Python Keras Implementation
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Feb 12, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

AI-Driven Adaptive Grid Model Beats Traditional Gold & Bitcoin Trading Strategies

This article reviews the award‑winning 2022 MCM/ICM C‑problem papers that develop and compare adaptive grid, ARIMA, LSTM, Prophet, and XGBoost‑based models for daily gold and Bitcoin trading, analyzing profitability, risk, transaction‑cost sensitivity, and providing evidence of superior strategy performance.

Quantitative Financemachine learningoptimization
0 likes · 28 min read
AI-Driven Adaptive Grid Model Beats Traditional Gold & Bitcoin Trading Strategies
DataFunSummit
DataFunSummit
Feb 1, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Clustering-Based Global LSTM Models for Large-Scale Time Series Forecasting

The paper proposes clustering thousands of related time series and training separate global LSTM models for each cluster, showing that this reduces heterogeneity, leverages shared information, and improves forecasting accuracy compared to individual models, with extensive experiments on CIF2016 and NN5 datasets.

Big DataClusteringLSTM
0 likes · 33 min read
Clustering-Based Global LSTM Models for Large-Scale Time Series Forecasting
DataFunSummit
DataFunSummit
Jan 14, 2023 · Artificial Intelligence

Key Transformer Model Papers Across Language, Vision, Speech, and Time‑Series Domains

This article surveys the most influential Transformer‑based research papers—from the original Attention Is All You Need work to recent models such as Autoformer and FEDformer—covering breakthroughs in natural language processing, computer vision, speech recognition, and long‑term series forecasting, and provides download links for each.

AISpeech RecognitionTransformer
0 likes · 17 min read
Key Transformer Model Papers Across Language, Vision, Speech, and Time‑Series Domains
Alimama Tech
Alimama Tech
Nov 16, 2022 · Artificial Intelligence

STARDOM: Semantic-Aware Deep Hierarchical Forecasting Model for Search Traffic Prediction

STARDOM is an end‑to‑end deep hierarchical forecasting model that jointly learns hierarchical constraints, query semantics via pretrained BERT, and a calibration matrix within an encoder‑decoder architecture, using a distilled reconciliation loss and hierarchical sampling to accurately predict large‑scale search traffic and outperform state‑of‑the‑art baselines.

Search Advertisingdeep learninghierarchical modeling
0 likes · 22 min read
STARDOM: Semantic-Aware Deep Hierarchical Forecasting Model for Search Traffic Prediction
Ctrip Technology
Ctrip Technology
Oct 20, 2022 · Artificial Intelligence

Mid‑ and Long‑Term Monthly Hotel Room‑Night Forecasting under Pandemic Conditions

This article presents a pandemic‑aware method for predicting national hotel monthly room‑nights over the next six months, detailing data augmentation, feature engineering, LSTM and SARIMA‑LASSO modeling, scenario‑based risk assessment, and evaluation results that demonstrate accurate forecasts despite COVID‑19 disruptions.

AILSTMSARIMA
0 likes · 14 min read
Mid‑ and Long‑Term Monthly Hotel Room‑Night Forecasting under Pandemic Conditions
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Oct 10, 2022 · Artificial Intelligence

Predict Air Pollution with Multivariate LSTM in Keras: A Step‑by‑Step Guide

This tutorial explains how to build, train, and evaluate a multivariate LSTM model using Keras for hourly air‑pollution forecasting, covering data preparation, model design, prediction, and inverse scaling back to original units.

KerasLSTMPython
0 likes · 13 min read
Predict Air Pollution with Multivariate LSTM in Keras: A Step‑by‑Step Guide
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Oct 6, 2022 · Artificial Intelligence

Demystifying RNNs and LSTMs: Architecture, Limits, and Python Forecasting

This article explains the structure and operation of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), their limitations, how long short‑term memory (LSTM) networks overcome these issues with gated mechanisms, and provides a complete Python implementation for time‑series airline passenger forecasting.

LSTMPythonRNN
0 likes · 17 min read
Demystifying RNNs and LSTMs: Architecture, Limits, and Python Forecasting
Model Perspective
Model Perspective
Sep 15, 2022 · Fundamentals

How to Build and Apply the GM(2,1) Grey Model for Accurate Forecasting

This article introduces the GM(2,1) grey model, presents its definitions and theorem, walks through a step‑by‑step case study with data preparation, parameter estimation, solution of the differential equation, and shows how to implement the whole process in Python with code examples and error analysis.

GM(2,1)Grey ModelPython
0 likes · 7 min read
How to Build and Apply the GM(2,1) Grey Model for Accurate Forecasting